Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 5.491885 6.003959 6.564274 7.226883 7.994302 8.861623 9.925313
2025-03-02 4.563161 5.228580 6.011428 7.015275 8.290936 9.890797 12.105261
2025-03-09 4.033504 4.763634 5.664561 6.885908 8.545402 10.798731 14.242159
2025-03-16 3.689817 4.459575 5.445172 6.842120 8.848690 11.767930 16.654665
2025-03-23 3.499094 4.318384 5.403558 7.007481 9.439373 13.233895 20.239344
2025-03-30 3.224924 4.035436 5.133581 6.803836 9.434345 13.753351 22.349223
2025-04-06 2.994147 3.789871 4.888587 6.600876 9.387933 14.176958 24.399915
2025-04-13 2.798699 3.577373 4.670208 6.409879 9.325670 14.548092 26.463178
2025-04-20 2.660696 3.435354 4.540997 6.340606 9.452450 15.284478 29.638972
2025-04-27 2.597913 3.395609 4.557858 6.502656 10.001594 16.960405 35.982073
2025-05-04 2.544994 3.365542 4.585045 6.681612 10.606379 18.908124 44.394938
2025-05-11 2.456752 3.276820 4.513603 6.683420 10.870533 20.168767 51.644381
2025-05-18 2.375866 3.201381 4.468387 6.746523 11.310838 22.096347 63.822406
2025-05-25 2.247746 3.047855 4.289303 6.556224 11.208495 22.661469 71.345183
2025-06-01 2.145533 2.928594 4.157656 6.439284 11.245244 23.627533 82.450980
2025-06-08 2.066768 2.841373 4.072469 6.399660 11.446128 25.145707 99.809209
2025-06-15 2.027919 2.814644 4.086092 6.549258 12.109387 28.377599 138.695718
2025-06-22 1.935752 2.697552 3.937484 6.365001 11.941443 28.816881 156.345537
2025-06-29 1.850280 2.587539 3.795030 6.181101 11.748574 29.120925 174.904313
2025-07-06 1.772367 2.486584 3.663040 6.007796 11.558923 29.389903 195.666721
2025-07-13 1.716854 2.419987 3.587857 5.944881 11.646236 30.779771 242.851605
2025-07-20 1.696542 2.410304 3.612662 6.092009 12.318064 34.932401 395.690918
2025-07-27 1.679018 2.404211 3.643180 6.254287 13.070637 40.052202 755.195966